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Thursday, 6 August 2026

UK power elevated on Iran/Hormuz supply risk, nuclear outages & low wind

Prices rising sharply2027 wholesale: £84.48/MWh

Energy prices are noticeably higher than normal right now, mainly because a conflict in the Middle East has blocked a major shipping route for gas tankers, making gas harder and more expensive to get hold of across Europe — and because several UK power stations are currently shut for repairs while the wind has been weak. We expect prices to stay high and a bit unpredictable over the next couple of weeks, unless there is a peace deal or the shipping route reopens.

What's affecting prices

  • Middle East conflict blocking the main shipping route for gas tankers into Europe
  • Several UK nuclear power stations currently shut down for repairs
  • Less wind than normal expected across the UK and northwest Europe this week
  • Gas storage across Europe running about 10% lower than this time last year
  • Norwegian gas pipeline deliveries to the UK cut by an unexpected equipment fault

Wholesale pricing based on ICE forward settlements; non-commodity charges from NESO, LCCC, Ofgem and DNO publications. Indicative only — not financial advice.

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