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Tuesday, 19 May 2026

UK power sharply elevated; Hormuz LNG disruption and cold May drive near-term spike

Prices rising sharplyCal-27 wholesale: £81.48/MWh

Energy prices are noticeably higher than usual right now, mainly because a conflict in the Middle East has blocked ships carrying gas, meaning less gas is available for Europe and the UK to buy — and it has also been colder than normal across Europe, so people have been using more heating. Prices should stay high for the next week or two, but may ease a little later in May as the weather warms up and winds pick up.

What's affecting prices

  • Middle East conflict blocking LNG ships, reducing gas supply to Europe
  • European gas tanks unusually low — only 36% full vs 50% normal for this time of year
  • Colder-than-normal May across the UK and Europe, keeping heating on longer
  • Less wind than usual, so more gas burned to make electricity
  • US LNG supply also reduced after maintenance delays at export terminals

Wholesale pricing based on ICE forward settlements; non-commodity charges from NESO, LCCC, Ofgem and DNO publications. Indicative only — not financial advice.

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